The Indonesian Business Council (IBC) delivered the IBC Business Outlook 2026 and convened a Launch and High-Level Dialogue in Jakarta on 14 January 2026, bringing together policymakers, business leaders, economists, and international partners to discuss Indonesia’s growth outlook amid an increasingly fragmented global environment.
The discussion was attended by Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto, who delivered a keynote address highlighting that Indonesia continues to face global risks and uncertainties, including geopolitical fragmentation, trade tensions, tighter global financial conditions, and the structural slowdown of major economies. These pressures, he noted, underscore the importance of sustained policy coordination and continued reform to safeguard growth momentum and preserve confidence.
Against this backdrop, the Outlook highlights that Indonesia enters 2026 from a position of macroeconomic resilience, having maintained stability despite external shocks. However, the report stresses that stability alone is no longer sufficient to generate stronger and more durable growth. Economic expansion is expected to remain broadly around the 5 percent range, reflecting constrained momentum as household consumption faces pressure from limited real income growth, investment becomes more uneven and concentrated in capital-intensive sectors, and policy space narrows amid fiscal and monetary trade-offs. The central insight of the Outlook is that Indonesia’s growth plateau is not a structural inevitability, but rather the outcome of execution gaps and institutional constraints that limit productivity gains, investment quality, and competitiveness.
Under the theme “Inflection: Breaking the Growth Plateau,” the Outlook identifies three critical catalysts: Certainty, Capability, and Capital as the foundation for lifting growth quality. Certainty emphasizes regulatory clarity, rule of law, and policy credibility to anchor long-term investment; Capability focuses on productivity, skills, and structural transformation to move the economy up the value chain; and Capital highlights the need to mobilize and allocate long-term financing toward productive and sustainable activities. Positioned as a strategic reference for both policymakers and business leaders, the IBC Business Outlook 2026 reinforces the role of the private sector as a strategic partner in translating resilience into higher-quality, more competitive, and sustainable growth.
